TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between Seattle Reign FC and Portland Thorns FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between Seattle Reign FC and Portland Thorns FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated belief of traders risking real capital. Prediction markets typically incorporate information more dynamically and can adjust faster to breaking news or injury reports. Sportsbook odds are designed to generate profit through the spread, whereas this market prices outcomes based purely on trader conviction. Both sources offer valuable signals, but prediction markets often capture longer-tail probabilities and niche scenarios that traditional sportsbooks may not emphasize.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each exact score outcome, with the market price reflecting the collective confidence in that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline is a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes should theoretically sum to 100 percent, though in practice market inefficiencies and fees create small gaps. The platform uses an automated market maker or order book mechanism to match buyers and sellers, ensuring continuous liquidity. As the match date approaches and new information emerges, prices adjust dynamically. High-probability outcomes typically show tighter spreads and deeper liquidity than long-shot scorelines.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Seattle Reign FC versus Portland Thorns FC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with no extra time or penalty shootouts factored in unless the match format explicitly requires them. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, once official confirmation is available. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any potential postponements or rescheduling announcements, as these could affect the resolution timeline.
Team news—including injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence how traders price outcomes. Weather conditions on match day may favor certain playing styles or affect scoring patterns. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move prices ahead of kickoff as they incorporate late-breaking information. Public sentiment and social media momentum can also drive retail trader activity. Any official announcements regarding venue, timing, or competition format changes will ripple through the market as participants reassess their positions.