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2,388,728,490

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$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

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2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC?

Volume:
$503,643

Seattle Reign

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Seattle Reign

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$284,531
N/A
N/A
$200,374
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Seattle Reign FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portland Thorns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,555
N/A
N/A
$93,581
Settled
No
polymarket

Portland Thorns FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,700
N/A
N/A
$60,789
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Seattle Reign FC vs. Portland Thorns FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Seattle Reign FC and Portland Thorns FC scheduled for July 12, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Seattle Reign win, Portland Thorns win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation clause (resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup), while Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance. This creates conflicting settlement outcomes in a full-cancellation scenario.Hero tip: Monitor official NWSL communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup scheduled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes, but Kalshi's outcome markets may resolve differently (likely No or void). Consider this asymmetry when sizing positions across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Portland Win (Yes/No), Seattle Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Draw market explicitly states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' All markets reference official NWSL statistics as primary source, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets that each resolve Yes if their condition is met (Seattle Win, Portland Win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties). Implies standard market practice but lacks clarity on full cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Seattle Reign FC and Portland Thorns FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the professional NWSL soccer game originally scheduled for July 12, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Three outcomes are possible: a Seattle Reign victory, a Portland Thorns victory, or a tie. If the game ends in a tie, the designated Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Seattle Reign vs. Portland Thorns match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading platforms where traders forecast the match outcome. You can monitor real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus probability shifts as the event approaches. The cross-platform view reveals how different trader communities price the same fixture, offering insight into where smart money is positioned. Track both platforms side-by-side to spot divergences and identify which outcome the broader market favors.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs in a winner-take-all format. Prediction market odds often incorporate sharper, real-time information from active traders and can diverge meaningfully from sportsbook lines, especially as new team news or injury reports emerge. Comparing both sources helps bettors identify value and understand how professional and retail sentiment differ on this matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds on this market due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or more specialized trader pools on one platform can lead to temporary mispricings that arbitrageurs gradually correct. Platform-specific rules, withdrawal policies, and regional accessibility also influence which traders participate where. Monitoring both venues helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and understand how market microstructure shapes consensus on the match outcome.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader sentiment. Off-field developments such as managerial changes, disciplinary suspensions, or travel disruptions may also trigger repricing. Monitor team news, official league communications, and betting-market activity in the final days before kickoff, as late-breaking information often drives sharp moves in prediction market prices.