TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Major League Cricket match between Seattle Orcas and Washington Freedom scheduled for June 19, 2026. On Kalshi, Washington Freedom is favored at 81.0% to win the contest, while Seattle Orcas holds 21.0% probability. The market resolves based on the official result of the men's professional cricket match as determined by standard cricket rules and governing body decisions. Watch for the match kickoff on June 19, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT, which will determine the final outcome.
Resolution depends on the official result declared by the governing body. If Seattle Orcas wins, the Seattle Orcas market resolves Yes. If Washington Freedom wins, the Washington Freedom market resolves Yes. Ties, draws, no results, abandonments, or cancellations with no official winner result in $0.50 resolution for all markets. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins also resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly through price discovery. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and prediction market participants disagree on team performance and match likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of match probability at any given moment. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time. This mechanism ensures that the odds you see represent the most current market consensus on the Seattle Orcas and Washington Freedom matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match result. Until that point, prices will continue to fluctuate as traders update their positions based on team news, injuries, and other developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the winner is established.
Key roster updates, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends can significantly shift trader positioning in this market. Momentum swings, coaching decisions, and head-to-head matchup analysis often drive price movement leading up to the match. Public statements from players or management, as well as betting trends from other venues, may influence how traders reassess the probabilities. Weather conditions and venue factors specific to the matchup can also emerge as catalysts that reshape market sentiment closer to kickoff.