TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the San Francisco Unicorns will defeat the Seattle Orcas in their Major League Cricket matchup. On Kalshi, the Unicorns hold a 58.0% probability of winning, while the Orcas are at 45.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the men's professional match as declared by Major League Cricket. Watch for the match outcome on July 11, 2026 at 8:30 PM EDT, which will settle this contract.
The match resolves based on the official winner declared by the governing body. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, the market resolves accordingly. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal information gaps or consensus shifts that sportsbooks haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where smart money sees value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing possible outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest consensus among active traders, with bid-ask spreads tightening as volume increases. Your entry and exit prices depend on real-time supply and demand, so monitoring the order book helps you execute at favorable levels and understand the true cost of your position.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game records, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, prices may shift as new information emerges, team news breaks, or market sentiment evolves. Monitor updates leading up to resolution to stay informed of any developments that could affect your position.
Key catalysts include player injuries, roster changes, recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and public betting trends. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and coaching decisions can also influence trader expectations. Major news—such as a star player's status or a surprising upset by either team in prior games—often triggers sharp price moves as the market reprices risk. Tracking sports news and team announcements will help you anticipate volatility and identify trading opportunities before the broader market reacts.