TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 7:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 10 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 10 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect what participants genuinely expect to happen, unfiltered by bookmaker margins. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders see the matchup differently, making prediction markets a useful lens for understanding true probability versus commercial pricing.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the event outcome, and the current price reflects the latest equilibrium between supply and demand. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the odds stay responsive to real-world developments leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official game records. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders react to pre-game developments, betting patterns, and any late-breaking news. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the winner is established.
Key catalysts include roster updates, injury announcements, and recent team performance trends. Unexpected lineup changes or trades could shift expectations significantly. Weather conditions at game time, public betting action, and expert commentary may also influence trader sentiment. Momentum swings in either team's season, head-to-head historical matchups, and real-time in-game developments once play begins can all drive price movement. Monitoring sports news and team updates is essential for staying ahead of market shifts.