TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 1:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Seattle Mariners will win their game against the Los Angeles Angels on September 16th at 9:38PM ET. Currently, the probability of a Seattle Mariners win is 10.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be based on the final result reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game’s outcome itself, as this market will resolve based on the result of the September 16th fixture.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for September 16 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective insight of market participants. If a significant difference exists, it might suggest the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has identified a mispricing opportunity. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This creates a dynamic and real-time estimation of the game’s potential results, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the ongoing trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Seattle Mariners versus Los Angeles Angels game, as reported by a leading sports data provider. The final score and official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Polymarket once the game has concluded and the results are officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, pitching changes, or weather conditions impacting the game could significantly move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could influence the price of shares. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.