TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 4:38 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-15 23:10 UTC: If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-15 23:10 UTC: If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to "Houston Astros". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Opinion, traders collectively set the price by buying and selling shares tied to possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity influencing how quickly prices shift. If one team gains momentum — through recent wins or key player returns — their share price may rise, adjusting the implied odds for all participants. This decentralized pricing captures crowd wisdom in real time.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game record — specifically which team wins the scheduled matchup — and will be reflected automatically once authoritative sources confirm the final score. No manual intervention is required; the platform updates based on widely accepted public data.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute roster changes could shift this market significantly before Aug 15, 2026. Strong performance in preceding games, trading rumors, or even shifts in betting volume on traditional sportsbooks may influence trader sentiment. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of a winner — whether strategic adjustments or unexpected substitutions — can cause rapid price movements on Opinion as participants react to new information.