TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:52 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-13 01:40 UTC: If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the Athletics win, the market will resolve to "Athletics". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-13 01:40 UTC: If the Seattle Mariners win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners". If the Athletics win, the market will resolve to "Athletics". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of market efficiency. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value for informed traders. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Mariners-Athletics game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mariners-Athletics game, as officially recorded, will determine which outcome wins. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. All open contracts will then be settled based on the confirmed outcome, and traders will receive payouts accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage impacting public perception, could also drive price movements. Major shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, while not directly reflected, might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential catalysts for changes in the market.