TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
O/U 22.5
- Polymarket
O/U 22.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 16, 2026
Time left: 20h:28m:42s
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This market tracks the 2nd half point spread for the NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Seahawks covering a -1.5 point spread at 100.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, both of which will resolve to the official game results reported by https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 15th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Denver wins the SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins the SEA Seahawks vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks, as they incorporate information from a diverse range of participants and are continuously updated based on new information. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, creating a dynamic and potentially more efficient price discovery process. Sportsbooks also include a 'vig' or commission, whereas prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, potentially offering better value to informed traders.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to differences in trader participation, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket might attract a different user base than Kalshi, leading to varying perspectives on the likely outcome of the Seahawks-Broncos game. Furthermore, the specific rules and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Differences in the volume traded on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies; a larger volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price. These factors create independent price signals, even for the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Seahawks-Broncos game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The market's resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries on either the Seahawks or the Broncos would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market. Furthermore, any significant news related to team strategy, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment could lead to increased trading activity and price movements. Major announcements or events leading up to the game will be closely watched by traders.