TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either team based on various scoring thresholds.
Each market specifies a scoring threshold for either the Washington Commanders or the Seattle Seahawks in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If the specified team scores more points than the threshold stated in the market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The thresholds vary incrementally for each team, offering multiple opportunities to assess different levels of scoring performance. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public betting bias or house advantage. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong track record of accuracy, frequently outperforming traditional polls and, in some cases, even sportsbook closing lines. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher team total, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time, providing a constantly updated assessment of potential team performances.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Seahawks-Commanders game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically the total points scored by each team as recorded by official league sources. The market will determine which contracts correspond to the actual team totals, and those contract holders will receive a payout based on the final result. The market’s outcome is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Commanders would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting passing or kicking games, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could also influence trading activity. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi itself could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to perceived new information or shifts in sentiment.