TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Washington Commanders will win by more than 1.5 points against the Seattle Seahawks. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 89.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final point differential of the SEA Seahawks vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game, with the market resolving to Yes if the Seahawks win by more than 20.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the point differential from the Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point margin threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the listed team wins by more than the stated margin. For Seattle markets, resolution occurs if Seattle wins by exceeding the specified points; for Washington markets, resolution occurs if Washington wins by exceeding the specified points. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome condition. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting percentages and sharp action, leading to potential discrepancies with the expectations reflected in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment regarding the Seahawks and Commanders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Seahawks versus Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which contract – representing a specific point spread – accurately predicts the final margin of victory (or loss) in the game. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100, minus any applicable fees.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. News regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also impact trading activity. Finally, any substantial public betting trends observed at sportsbooks could influence traders’ behavior in this market, potentially driving price changes.