TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Commanders specifically during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for how many points a team must win by in that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Commanders during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a unique point threshold that must be exceeded by either team to result in a 'Yes' outcome. For markets where the Seahawks win by more than the stated margin (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' Conversely, for markets where the Commanders win by more than the stated margin (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market also resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may present an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Seahawks-Commanders 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract on a specific spread.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Seahawks-Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by the purchased contract. Traders will be able to view the final result and their payout status on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Even significant betting activity at sportsbooks could indirectly influence the price on Kalshi as traders react to the broader market information.