TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the Seattle Seahawks versus Washington Commanders game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market evaluates whether one team secures a victory by a specific point margin during this latter segment of play, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the specified game. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the designated team wins that half by exceeding the stated point margin. Each market features a different threshold, ranging from narrow advantages to larger margins, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only second-half points—including those in overtime—are considered, ensuring clarity and focus on the latter game segment. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully incorporated into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions, unique insights held by traders, or even simply variations in the timing of information release. It’s common to see this market move in anticipation of significant news or late-breaking developments that might influence the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the Seahawks will win by more than that spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a Seahawks victory, the price of those contracts increases, while the price of contracts predicting a Commanders victory decreases. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants regarding the likely outcome of the Seahawks-Commanders 2nd half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Seahawks-Commanders game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will assess whether the Seahawks won the second half by more than the spread indicated by the purchased contract. The result will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the Seahawks-Commanders 2nd half spread between now and resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Even public perception and media narratives surrounding the game can contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.