TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the combined points scored by both teams in the first half of an upcoming NFL game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and scoring output of the game within the first two quarters.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Commanders during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the first half of play, with no consideration given to points from overtime, halftime adjustments, or post-game events. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution is binary: if the actual combined first-half points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The markets are independent, and each threshold operates under the same foundational rule of first-half scoring exclusivity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the total points scored in the first half fall within a specific range, and $0 otherwise. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders, adjusting dynamically with each transaction. As more volume flows into the market, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate representation of the true probability.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official total points scored in the first half of the Seahawks-Commanders game, as reported by official sports data providers. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the actual total was above or below the relevant threshold, determining payouts to traders who held contracts on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Unexpected line movements in sportsbooks, or even significant public attention on the game, could also influence trader behavior. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could all contribute to price fluctuations before Sep 27, 2026.