TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how decisively either team will lead at halftime in an upcoming NFL matchup. They focus exclusively on the point differential at the end of the first half, ignoring the final game result.
All markets resolve based solely on the point difference between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Commanders at the end of the first half of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets 1-8 cover Seattle winning by various margins from over 2.5 to over 13.5 points, while markets 9-15 cover Washington winning by margins from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points. Only points scored during the first half are considered; the final game outcome or any other period's scoring has no impact. If the winning team exceeds the specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately regardless of overlaps or relationships between them.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, you’ll find that this market incorporates information and perspectives that aren't immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different view on the likely result. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the event. The current market price indicates what traders believe is the most likely outcome for the first half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half spread of the SEA Seahawks vs WAS Commanders game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Seahawks or Commanders, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the market to move. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or starting lineups could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.