TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals. It specifically tracks performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on which team demonstrates stronger offensive capability in that critical segment of the game.
If Arizona wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the most likely outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market can dynamically adjust as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event draws closer and more trading occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth – the number of contracts available at various price points – also indicates the level of confidence traders have in each potential result. This dynamic pricing system allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if either, wins the 4th quarter of the Seahawks-Cardinals game. The result will be based on official game statistics and final scores as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the settlement of all outstanding contracts at that time.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during the game itself, such as a dominant start by one team, would also impact prices. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from individual participants or groups could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in sentiment or strategic positioning.