TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals. It captures the excitement of a single quarter's performance, highlighting the potential for momentum shifts within the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the third quarter of the specified NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals. If Arizona scores more points than Seattle in that quarter, the 'Arizona wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Seattle scores more points, the 'Seattle wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome, and the markets are independent of the overall game result.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the quarter. The market’s price is solely determined by supply and demand on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the third quarter of the SEA Seahawks versus ARI Cardinals game will determine the result. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to settle this market. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Key player injuries to either the Seahawks or Cardinals would significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also cause shifts. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could influence trader sentiment, leading to price adjustments. Any late-breaking news related to player availability or team conditions has the potential to move this market considerably.