TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can assess. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored during that specific quarter.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 20, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the third quarter, with no points from any other quarter contributing to the outcome. If the total points exceed the threshold specified in a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The markets are independent, allowing for multiple thresholds to be evaluated simultaneously. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 3rd quarter total score. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price rises, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, and provides a real-time assessment of the potential score. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between the Seahawks and Cardinals will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual 3rd quarter total will be paid out according to the contract terms. It’s important to monitor the event timeline as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Seahawks or Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations as they signal shifts in market sentiment before the game concludes.