TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will score the most points in the second quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals. It focuses solely on the performance of each team during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome or other quarters.
If Arizona wins the 2nd Quarter of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seattle wins the 2nd Quarter of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the SEA Seahawks vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many traders rather than relying on a single bookmaker's assessment. While sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like house edge and public betting patterns, this market allows participants to weigh information independently. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or strategic advantages. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team winning the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the game approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team – the Seahawks or the Cardinals – has the higher score at the end of the second quarter of the game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning team, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that any potential overtime periods are not considered for this market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Seahawks or the Cardinals would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts, could all contribute to price movements. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, though the market tends to be more driven by informed traders.