TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Seattle Seahawks versus the Arizona Cardinals specifically within the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that would determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals exclusively during the second quarter of the game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: if the Seahawks win by exceeding 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or if they win by more than 1.5 points, the respective 'SEA Seahawks wins 2Q by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Conversely, if the Cardinals win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, the corresponding 'ARI Cardinals wins 2Q by over X points' markets resolve to Yes. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and no market resolves unless the specified condition is met exactly or exceeded.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, whereas this market’s price is determined by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Seahawks-Cardinals 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their views, creating a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Seahawks-Cardinals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contract. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Seahawks or Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game developments during the first quarter, such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected strategic adjustments, could lead to substantial price changes as traders react to the unfolding events.