TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will dominate the second half of a football game by a specific margin. Outcomes depend solely on the point differential after the second half begins, excluding any points from the first half.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the specified game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory. If the Seattle Seahawks win the second half by exceeding their respective point threshold, the corresponding 'SEA Seahawks wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Arizona Cardinals win the second half by exceeding their respective threshold, the corresponding 'ARI Cardinals wins 2H by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these outcomes. No consideration is given to the first half scoring or the overall game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that prediction market traders have insights that aren't yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Seahawks-Cardinals second half. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective opinion of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second half spread of the Seahawks-Cardinals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for the winning spread and $0 for all other spreads. The exact payout will depend on the final point difference in the second half of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Seahawks or Cardinals would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price movements in this market before it resolves.