TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SE Palmeiras and São Paulo FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between SE Palmeiras and São Paulo FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the SE Palmeiras vs. São Paulo FC match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will handle the distribution of funds based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SE Palmeiras or São Paulo FC would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Major announcements regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also contribute to movement in this market.