TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA
polymarket
kalshi

SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA

Volume:
$451,110

SE Palmeiras

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,768
N/A
N/A
$67,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gremio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,854
N/A
N/A
$49,392
Settled
No
polymarket

Grêmio FBPA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,302
N/A
N/A
$32,977
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

SE Palmeiras and Grêmio FBPA will compete in a Brasileiro Serie A match on April 2, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Palmeiras win, Draw, or Grêmio win).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official outcome of the SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA match scheduled for April 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same primary source (CBF/governing body statistics) and identical scope (regular play only, no extra time or penalties).Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Polymarket offers three binary markets: Grêmio FBPA win (YES/NO), SE Palmeiras win (YES/NO), and Draw (YES/NO). Kalshi offers three outcome-specific markets: Palmeiras win, Tie, or Gremio win, each resolving YES if that outcome occurs.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's Grêmio and Palmeiras markets resolve NO, and the Draw market resolves YES; Kalshi's markets resolve based on the actual outcome if rescheduled, or follow CBF cancellation protocol if permanently canceled.
  • Exactly one outcome will occur: either Palmeiras wins, Grêmio wins, or the match ends in a draw.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the game is completed and the final result is official.
  • Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: On Polymarket, Grêmio and Palmeiras win markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES. Kalshi follows CBF protocol for permanent cancellations.
  • Scope: Regular Time Only: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
  • Source Hierarchy: Official CBF/governing body statistics are the primary source; credible reporting consensus is used only if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by CBF or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match via consensus credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.