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SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño - First Team to Score

Volume:
$19,065

Tie 1st Half

 - Kalshi

Tie 1st Half - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 3:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie 1st Half

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,770
N/A
N/A
$5,133
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,171
N/A
N/A
$5,582
Settled
No
kalshi

Fortaleza wins 1st Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,214
N/A
N/A
$2,722
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Cerro Porteño

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns determining which team will score first in the upcoming match between SE Palmeiras and Club Cerro Porteño, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The markets will resolve based on whether SE Palmeiras, Club Cerro Porteño, or neither team scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree that the market resolves based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A canceled game with no make-up results in a "Neither" outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is unavailable within 2 hours after the event

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • If neither team scores within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Neither"
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration
  • A postponed game remains open until completed; a canceled game with no make-up resolves to "Neither"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: The market remains open until the game is completed, with resolution based on the first goal in the rescheduled match within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up, the market resolves to "Neither"
  • Delayed statistics: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event, a consensus of credible reporting may be used
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official statistics or credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between SE Palmeiras and Club Cerro Porteño, scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Cerro Porteño" if Club Cerro Porteño are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If Palmeiras is the winner of the first half in the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza professional Copa do Brasil soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fortaleza is the winner of the first half in the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza professional Copa do Brasil soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the first half in the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza professional Copa do Brasil soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the first goal scorer market dashboard aggregates real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It shows how traders across venues are pricing the likelihood of each team scoring first, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. This cross-platform view includes total volume of $19,065 and 24-hour volume of $18,843, allowing users to see where interest is concentrated as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and may apply different fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, liquidity differences can amplify price swings, especially with limited trading volume. These factors combine to create unique probability assessments on each venue, often resulting in noticeable gaps between the two markets as the event nears.

Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key player availability, recent form analyses, and even pre-match betting trends on major exchanges may cause probabilities to swing. Traders will watch for any news that impacts scoring potential, as these factors often drive late-stage volume and price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi.