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SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño?

Volume:
$2,184,879

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 8:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$281,656
N/A
N/A
$96,351
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño)

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$82,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cerro Porteno

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$730,066
N/A
N/A
$412,835
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Cerro Porteño

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$463,860
N/A
N/A
$145,912
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño match scheduled for August 12, 2026 will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket shows a leading outcome of 100.0%, with Club Cerro Porteño winning as the second outcome at 0.1%. Resolution is based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, CONMEBOL Libertadores. The key catalyst to watch will be the match result on August 12, 2026, which determines the final settlement of all related markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of cancellations and draws.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (CONMEBOL Libertadores)

Core resolution logic:

  • Win markets resolve to 'Yes' only if the respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Draw market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a tie within regular time plus stoppage time, including cancellations without a make-up game
  • Cancellations without a make-up game resolve win markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Win markets resolve 'No'; draw market resolves 'Yes'
Timing: Resolution occurs after official publication of match statistics by CONMEBOL Libertadores, with a 2-hour grace period for credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between SE Palmeiras and Club Cerro Porteño.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game scheduled for Aug 12, 2026. If Palmeiras wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Palmeiras' market resolves to Yes. If Cerro Porteno wins under the same conditions, the 'Cerro Porteno' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Any cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours will result in a fair price resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño match market across multiple prediction venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various outcomes. It aggregates volume and recent activity to give you a consensus view of market sentiment, letting you see how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate the contest. The display updates in real time, so you can monitor shifts in perception as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may incorporate adjustments for sharp money or public bias, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi let participants bet directly on their own valuations. This can create price gaps, especially when analytical models or insider expectations drive traders toward different favorites than the sportsbook consensus.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect gameplay could all shift this market. Additionally, strong performance in recent matches, tactical analysis from experts, and shifting betting volumes on Polymarket or Kalshi may cause prices to adjust as traders reassess probabilities ahead of the final whistle.