TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
SE Palmeiras and CA Paranaense will compete in a Brazilian Serie A match on April 19, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: Palmeiras win, draw, or Paranaense win. All three markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, covering all possible match outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets (Polymarket draw, Polymarket Paranaense win, Polymarket Palmeiras win, and Kalshi outcome markets) resolve based on the official 90-minute match result plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF) as the governing body for Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if SE Palmeiras wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if CA Paranaense wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly one outcome (Palmeiras win, Paranaense win, or draw) will occur and resolve YES on its corresponding market.
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final result of the completed match.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a draw outcome per Polymarket rules) while both win markets resolve NO.
- Resolution Source Timing: If CBF does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may be determined by consensus of credible reporting sources rather than official statistics.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match scheduled for April 19, 2026, with final determination made upon publication of official CBF statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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