TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 11:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras score more goals than CA Mineiro in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Mineiro" if CA Mineiro score more goals than SE Palmeiras in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro, scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras score more goals than CA Mineiro in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Mineiro" if CA Mineiro score more goals than SE Palmeiras in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money commitment. Traders betting on the second half outcome here have skin in the game, which can lead to sharper pricing than conventional bookmakers. However, sportsbook odds remain useful as a reference point for comparing market sentiment across venues.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), reflecting the collective belief of all participants. As traders buy and sell shares tied to the second half result, the price adjusts dynamically. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest skepticism.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Palmeiras vs. Mineiro match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team has more goals at the end of the second half, or whether the half ends in a draw. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the final score is confirmed through official reporting.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp moves, as do pre-match analyst predictions and recent form. Live match developments, such as an early goal or red card in the first half, typically cause significant repricing as traders reassess the second half outlook. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting syndicates entering or exiting positions can also drive volatility in the final hours before kickoff.