TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro?

Volume:
$2,854,535

Atletico Mineiro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 8:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$917,839
N/A
N/A
$459,954
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Mineiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$168,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Palmeiras

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,041,304
N/A
N/A
$600,945
Settled
No
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$341,715
N/A
N/A
$175,200
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the professional soccer match between SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro scheduled for July 26, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for CA Mineiro winning is 100.0%, with SE Palmeiras winning at 0.1%. Data comes from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official CBF statistics. Watch for the match result on July 26, 2026, to determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official CBF (Confederacao Brasileira de Futebol) statistics as recognized by the governing body and event organizers; secondary source is credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Palmeiras Win market resolves Yes if SE Palmeiras scores more goals than CA Mineiro after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise resolves No.
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise resolves No.
  • Mineiro Win market resolves Yes if CA Mineiro scores more goals than SE Palmeiras after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise resolves No.
  • Resolution scope is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Palmeiras Win and Mineiro Win resolve No, while Draw resolves Yes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Palmeiras Win resolves No, Mineiro Win resolves No, and Draw resolves Yes.
  • Official score revision after resolution: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome; the resolution stands as initially declared.
  • Source hierarchy: Primary source is official CBF statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CBF statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours of match end, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets resolve on the date of the match, July 26, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, July 26, 2026 between SE Palmeiras and CA Mineiro.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome will be one of three possibilities: Palmeiras victory, Atletico Mineiro victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or postponed to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Palmeiras vs. Mineiro match, letting you monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. Both platforms host independent markets on the same matchup, allowing traders to compare how each venue prices the outcome. You can track consensus sentiment, spot divergences between venues, and see which outcome is commanding trader attention. The cross-platform view helps you understand whether conviction around a particular result is broad-based or concentrated on a single exchange.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus as money flows in and out. Prediction market prices often incorporate real-time information and can move faster than traditional sportsbook lines, especially as match day approaches. Many traders use both venues to identify mispricings, though prediction markets typically show wider spreads and lower liquidity than major sportsbooks.

Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—often triggers sharp price movement in the days before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are traditional drivers that traders reassess as new information emerges. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any off-field controversies can also shift sentiment. Major betting syndicates or institutional traders entering the market may signal conviction and move odds significantly. Monitor social media, team announcements, and sports news outlets for catalysts that could reshape trader positioning.