TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the final score of the Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between SE Palmeiras SP and Atletico Mineiro MG scheduled for July 26, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final score of the SE Palmeiras SP vs Atletico Mineiro MG professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for July 26, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included in the determination. Each possible correct score outcome—including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), wins for either team across various goal differentials, and scores up to 5 goals for either side—resolves to Yes if that exact final score is achieved.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, attracting participants who conduct deeper research into team form, injuries, and tactical matchups. For this event, comparing the crowd-derived odds here against major sportsbook lines can reveal where public perception differs, though both sources offer valid reference points for assessing the likelihood of each correct score outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching, where traders submit bids and asks for each correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts these orders into implied probabilities, displayed as decimal odds or percentages. Prices move in real time as new trades execute, reflecting updated consensus about the most likely scorelines. Tighter spreads between buy and sell prices indicate higher confidence and liquidity around particular outcomes, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading interest. Participants can place limit orders to enter at preferred prices or market orders for immediate execution.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. All positions settle based on the correct score that occurred during the match, with no partial payouts or alternative scoring methods. Traders holding positions on the winning scoreline receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Early resolution is not possible; the market remains open for trading until the event is complete and the result is publicly verifiable.
Key catalysts for price movement in this market include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or managerial changes that affect expected attacking or defensive output. Recent form shifts, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all influence trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting syndicate activity or sharp money flowing into particular outcomes may signal informed positioning. Pre-match commentary from analysts and social media sentiment can also sway the crowd. As kickoff approaches, odds typically tighten around the most probable outcomes, while late-breaking roster updates or tactical surprises can trigger sharp repricing across multiple score predictions.