TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Scottie Scheffler: Round 1 Hole Scores
kalshi

What is Scottie Scheffler's Round 1 hole score outcome?

Volume:
$104,572

Hole 3: Birdie or better

 - Kalshi

Hole 3: Birdie or better - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 10:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hole 3: Birdie or better

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,528
N/A
N/A
$11,172
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 4: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,099
N/A
N/A
$9,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 1: Even par (E)

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,226
N/A
N/A
$4,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 11: Birdie or better

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,710
N/A
N/A
$3,128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 15: Bogey or worse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 2: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,642
N/A
N/A
$1,607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 16: Birdie or better

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,457
N/A
N/A
$1,123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 6: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$1,046
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 12: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$887
N/A
N/A
$887
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 7: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$748
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 5: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 9: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
$588
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 14: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 13: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 17: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 18: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 8: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 10: Even par (E)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
$384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hole 4: Bogey or worse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,098
N/A
N/A
$11,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 1: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,739
N/A
N/A
$5,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 17: Birdie or better

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,653
N/A
N/A
$5,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 1: Bogey or worse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,662
N/A
N/A
$3,913
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 3: Even par (E)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,360
N/A
N/A
$4,360
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 8: Birdie or better

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,856
N/A
N/A
$3,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Hole 9: Birdie or better

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,186
N/A
N/A
$3,177
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This event tracks Scottie Scheffler's performance on each individual hole during the first round of a golf tournament. The outcome for each hole depends solely on whether his score relative to par achieves a specific level: birdie or better (below par), even par, or bogey or worse (above par).

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific hole in Round 1 of the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Each market resolves based solely on Scottie Scheffler's score relative to par for that particular hole. A 'Birdie or better' market resolves to Yes if Scheffler's score is below par (e.g., -1, -2). An 'Even par (E)' market resolves to Yes if his score matches par exactly. A 'Bogey or worse' market resolves to Yes if his score is above par (e.g., +1, +2). All scores are evaluated independently per hole, with no aggregation or dependence between holes. The markets are purely factual, based on official tournament scorecards.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Scheffler hole scores market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $103,941. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing Scottie Scheffler's performance on each hole for Round 1, reflecting expectations based on current form, course conditions, and recent tournament data. The interface updates continuously to display shifts in market sentiment and liquidity, giving users insight into where betting interest is concentrated across different scoring outcomes for each hole.

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust rapidly to new information. Sportsbooks may set lines based on broader consensus or historical trends, while this market lets participants bet on granular hole-by-hole expectations, potentially offering sharper or more volatile pricing. Differences in implied probabilities can arise from the decentralized nature of trading versus the curated risk models of sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official tournament results and scorecards from trusted sports news outlets or the tournament organizer will determine the final scores for each hole in Round 1, which are then matched against the market's defined outcomes. The process ensures an objective, transparent resolution based on publicly available data.

Key signals that could shift this market include weather disruptions affecting play conditions, changes to Scottie Scheffler's tee times or pairing, real-time updates on his performance during early rounds, and any notable mistakes or birdies reported by live scorers. Additionally, broader market sentiment swings — especially if other top competitors post exceptional or poor early scores — may influence trader expectations and drive volatility in this market right up to resolution.