TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 8:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined goal total scored by Scotland and Brazil during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 24, 2026. Bettors predict whether the combined second-half goals will exceed various thresholds: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored by both teams exclusively during the second half. Each threshold outcome (Over 0.5, Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Over 3.5) resolves independently to Yes if the combined second-half goal total exceeds that threshold. Only goals scored after the 45-minute mark count toward this determination. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives rather than opinion alone. On this market, traders stake capital on their view of the second-half total, creating a crowdsourced probability that incorporates diverse expertise, recent form data, and injury reports. Analysts may rely on historical models or team statistics, while prediction markets aggregate live information and adjust dynamically. When this market's odds differ significantly from published forecasts, it typically signals either that the crowd has access to fresher intelligence or that analysts have not yet incorporated recent developments into their models.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to different second-half scoring outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, and the clearing price reflects the marginal trader's conviction. As new match developments unfold—substitutions, injuries, or tactical shifts—participants update their positions, and the price adjusts accordingly. This mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the most recent consensus among active traders willing to commit capital.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Scotland vs Brazil match concludes and the second-half total is finalized. The outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official match statistics. Traders holding positions aligned with the verified result will receive their payout, while opposing positions expire worthless. Resolution occurs automatically after the event is complete and the data is publicly available, ensuring all participants have access to the same authoritative information.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive changes—often triggers sharp repricing, as does confirmation of starting lineups. Early match momentum matters too; if Scotland or Brazil scores quickly in the second half, traders will reassess the likelihood of a high-scoring finish. Tactical adjustments, red cards, or unexpected substitutions can alter the pace of play and expected goal volume. Weather conditions and venue-specific factors may also influence scoring patterns, causing active traders to adjust their positions in real time.