TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to “YES” if Scotland scores the first goal in the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC. This includes any goal credited to Scotland, including own goals by Brazil players that count in Scotland's favor and are recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.” If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 24, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to “NO.” If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “YES” if Scotland scores the first goal in the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 22:00 UTC. This includes any goal credited to Scotland, including own goals by Brazil players that count in Scotland's favor and are recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “NO.” If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 24, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to “NO.” If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, comparing the implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the prediction community is pricing Scotland's first-goal chances higher or lower than conventional bookmakers. Such gaps may signal where informed traders see value or where public sentiment differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a Scotland first-goal share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices respond to catalysts, and wider bid-ask spreads may appear during periods of lower activity or high uncertainty.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the Scotland versus Brazil match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome hinges on a single question: did Scotland score the first goal in the match? If Scotland nets before Brazil, the affirmative outcome wins; if Brazil scores first or the match ends goalless, the negative outcome prevails. Resolution occurs after official match records and reputable sports media confirm the sequence of goals.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, recent form and head-to-head records, and official lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Pre-match analysis from respected football commentators and betting syndicates can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical changes may also influence perceived advantage. As match time approaches, this market typically sees increased volatility and volume as traders refine positions based on the most current information available.