TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
During the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, this event concerns which player will score the first goal for Scotland (excluding own goals).
First goalscorer markets for Scotland during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup track which player scores the first legitimate goal for the country. Own goals are excluded from consideration; if the first goal credited to Scotland is an own goal, resolution is based on the next goal that is not an own goal. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time all count toward these markets, but goals during penalty shootouts do not. Each player who does not score the first qualifying goal resolves to No regardless of whether they participated in any match. If no player from Scotland scores a goal throughout the tournament, the No Goalscorer market resolves to Yes. All other players listed resolve to No in that scenario.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sports media predictions. Markets aggregate real-time beliefs from many traders with financial incentives to be accurate, whereas analysts typically publish static pre-match assessments. For Scotland: First Goalscorer, market odds may reflect late-breaking team news, injury updates, or lineup changes faster than published analyst models. Comparing Kalshi odds to expert predictions from sports analysts or betting syndicates can reveal where the crowd consensus differs from professional opinion, helping you identify potential value or consensus blind spots.
Scotland: First Goalscorer is priced on Kalshi as a set of binary outcome contracts, one for each eligible Scottish player. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the market's implied probability that player will score first. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, establishing a mid-market price for each player outcome. As match conditions change or new information emerges, prices adjust continuously to reflect updated collective expectations.
The Scotland: First Goalscorer market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by which eligible Scottish player scores the first goal in the designated match. The outcome is final once the match concludes and official records confirm the goal scorer. If no Scottish player scores first, or if the match is abandoned or rescheduled beyond the resolution window, specific resolution criteria apply. Traders should monitor match scheduling and team lineups leading up to the end date to ensure they understand which fixture and player pool the market covers.
Key catalysts for Scotland: First Goalscorer odds include team lineup announcements, injury reports affecting key forwards, opponent defensive strength, and recent player form or goal-scoring streaks. Pre-match press conferences often reveal tactical changes or player availability that shift market expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can influence early-game dynamics. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal new information. Social media sentiment and late-breaking news about player fitness can trigger rapid repricing. Monitor official team communications and sports news closely in the days before the match for signals that could move individual player odds.