TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Drake's album Scorpion will accumulate more than 40,387,429 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming data for that specific tracking period, with results expected by June 1, 2026. The outcome hinges on streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking week itself.
The Scorpion streams up this week market on Kalshi resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for Scorpion by Drake during the May 22–28 measurement window. The outcome hinges on whether the track accumulates above 40,387,429 streams during that specific seven-day period. Once Luminate publishes final figures, the market settles based on whether the threshold is exceeded, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Scorpion streams up this week. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other DSPs could accelerate streaming velocity. Chart debuts or high chart positions may signal strong consumer interest. Drake promotional activity, music video releases, or social media momentum could drive listener engagement. Competing releases from other major artists might cannibalize streams. Radio spins and TikTok virality can amplify reach. Early-week streaming data leaks or industry reports about the track's performance trajectory often trigger rapid repricing as traders update their conviction on whether the 40,387,429 threshold will be reached.