TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 3:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the album Scorpion achieves streaming performance above a specific threshold during the June 19-25 tracking week. Streaming data is compiled from global sources and typically published within 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
If Scorpion has above 34,925,106 Worldwide Streams during the June 19 - June 25, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants with direct incentives to be accurate. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio schedules and historical patterns, this market reflects live trader conviction weighted by financial commitment. Analysts typically publish periodic updates, whereas market odds shift continuously. The two approaches complement each other: analysts provide reasoned commentary, while markets reveal crowd-aggregated probability in real time. Comparing both perspectives can help you form a more complete view of the likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers, and the current price reflects the most recent trade. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability that new Scorpion episodes will stream this week. As new information surfaces—network announcements, production updates, or schedule changes—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask reflects market uncertainty and liquidity at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether new Scorpion episodes actually stream during the specified week. Credible sources such as official network announcements, streaming platform schedules, or major entertainment news outlets will determine the final result. Once the week concludes and the outcome is clear, the market will settle and traders' positions will be finalized based on the confirmed result.
Official announcements from the network or streaming platform about the weekly schedule would be the most direct catalyst. Production delays, cast or crew availability updates, or unexpected scheduling changes could shift odds significantly. Entertainment news coverage of the show's status, renewal decisions, or behind-the-scenes developments may also influence trader sentiment. Social media activity and fan speculation can drive short-term volatility, though major moves typically follow concrete information. Any credible reporting about broadcast plans for the coming week will likely trigger rapid repricing as traders react to new data.