TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Scorpion's music streaming performance exceeds a specific threshold during a designated week. Streaming data is collected from global platforms and verified by Luminate Data, with results typically published within 48 hours of the tracking period's conclusion.
If Scorpion has above 35,161,271 Worldwide Streams during the June 12 - June 18, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets like this one aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, often revealing crowd wisdom that diverges from traditional analyst predictions. While entertainment analysts may rely on studio schedules, production timelines, and press releases, this market reflects what informed participants are willing to stake on an actual outcome. The odds here can move faster than formal forecasts when new information surfaces, making them a useful cross-check against conventional media expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the most recent trade and pending orders, updating in real time as new positions enter. Higher prices indicate stronger collective confidence in a yes outcome, while lower prices suggest skepticism. You can trade at any time during market hours, locking in your view before the resolution date arrives.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether Scorpion actually streams during the specified week. Once the event window closes and verifiable reporting is available, the market settles to either yes or no, and traders' positions are finalized based on the actual result.
Official announcements from streaming platforms or the production company would be the most direct catalyst, instantly shifting odds if a release date is confirmed or delayed. Industry news about production status, cast availability, or licensing deals can also influence trader sentiment. Social media momentum, entertainment news coverage, and competitor releases may reshape expectations. Even rumor and speculation can trigger volatility, so watch for credible entertainment reporters and official studio channels for signals that could swing this market before it resolves.