TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SC Wiener Viktoria and SC/ESV Parndorf 1919, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Wiener Viktoria" if SC Wiener Viktoria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC/ESV Parndorf 1919" if SC/ESV Parndorf 1919 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SC Wiener Viktoria and SC/ESV Parndorf 1919, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Wiener Viktoria" if SC Wiener Viktoria are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC/ESV Parndorf 1919" if SC/ESV Parndorf 1919 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with real financial stakes. For this market, prediction market participants are directly wagering on the outcome, which can surface sharper pricing on niche events like first-goal scenarios. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both aim to reflect the true probability of the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all traders; as more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the event and holding until resolution. The continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and allows real-time discovery of the true probability that either team scores first.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match between the two teams concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the first goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed, this market will settle according to the verified result, and traders' positions will be finalized based on whether their chosen outcome occurred.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can alter perceived scoring ability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Once play begins, early chances, goalkeeper saves, and tactical adjustments will prompt rapid repricing as traders update their beliefs about which team is more likely to break the deadlock. Weather conditions and referee decisions can also sway sentiment, making this market highly responsive to real-time developments.