TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between SC Vianense and CCD Minas Argozelo, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It examines different thresholds for wins by either team, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides insight into expected goal differentials for both teams in a competitive fixture.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes for the SC Vianense vs CCD Minas Argozelo professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct market conditions are assessed: SC Vianense winning by more than 2.5 goals, SC Vianense winning by more than 1.5 goals, CCD Minas Argozelo winning by more than 1.5 goals, and CCD Minas Argozelo winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal differential victory within regulation time; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets explicitly disclaim any official affiliation between Kalshi and the governing league, noting that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent different point-spread outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the market’s most probable result according to participant activity, with liquidity indicated by volume of $0. Prices update continuously as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after regulation time will determine which spread outcome is correct, and contracts will settle accordingly based on that verified result.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Injuries to star players, coaching changes, or unexpected lineup decisions often impact team performance and market sentiment. Weather conditions or venue issues might also affect the game dynamics, influencing trader expectations. Additionally, media coverage highlighting team strengths or weaknesses can sway market sentiment. As the match approaches, any public betting trends or analyst predictions released on Kalshi may cause fluctuations in this market, reflecting updated probabilities based on new information.