TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between SC Recife and Botafogo FC, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SC Recife and Botafogo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between SC Recife and Botafogo FC, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SC Recife" if SC Recife score more goals than Botafogo FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SC Recife and Botafogo FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Botafogo FC" if Botafogo FC score more goals than SC Recife in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and financial incentive to forecast accurately. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants willing to stake real capital on their view, which can reveal insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing the two can highlight where consensus differs and where value opportunities may exist.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative conviction of all participants; as more traders back a particular result, its price rises, and vice versa. The market continuously adjusts to incorporate new information, team news, or injury updates, ensuring prices stay aligned with real-time expectations about what will happen in the second half.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the second half—whether SC Recife wins, Botafogo wins, or the teams draw. Resolution happens after the final whistle and any official confirmation, ensuring accuracy before payouts are finalized.
Team news, injury announcements, and lineup changes can shift odds significantly before kickoff. During the match itself, early second half goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will drive sharp price movements as traders update their expectations in real time. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also influence sentiment. Major betting syndicates or informed traders entering the market can create sudden momentum, so watching for large trades and news flow is key to understanding price swings.