TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score outcomes for the SC Recife vs. América FC Brazil Serie B soccer match scheduled for August 24, 2026. The Polymarket markets resolve based on the precise score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi markets focus on total goals thresholds over the same timeframe.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between SC Recife and América FC, scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SC Recife vs. América FC match originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates various thresholds of total goals scored in the Sport Recife vs America FC Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for August 24, 2026. Each market specifies a different goal threshold (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to Yes. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The outcome is determined solely by the cumulative number of goals scored by both teams, with each threshold representing a distinct level of scoring intensity.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let traders price outcomes more granularly, incorporating real-time news and shifting sentiment. As a result, you might see sharper differences in implied probabilities, especially for less common scores. Comparing both can reveal where the crowd thinks value lies versus the sportsbook's official line.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans who strongly favor a particular score, pushing its probability higher, while the other could reflect a more global, neutral perspective. Additionally, each venue may have unique listing structures or fee models that influence how traders place bets, leading to divergent odds even for the same underlying question.