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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SC Recife vs. AA Ponte Preta
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of SC Recife vs. AA Ponte Preta?

Volume:
$461,227

Sport Recife

 - Kalshi

Sport Recife - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 11:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sport Recife

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,958
N/A
N/A
$60,839
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SC Recife

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ponte Preta

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$209,599
N/A
N/A
$149,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,455
N/A
N/A
$59,759
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Recife vs. AA Ponte Preta)

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,715
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AA Ponte Preta

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether SC Recife will win their soccer match against AA Ponte Preta on September 10, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of SC Recife winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. Keep an eye on the official CBF schedule for any potential changes to the match date or confirmation of its occurrence, as resolution is estimated for September 11, 2026, following the conclusion of the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leading to open markets or resolution based on external factors.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined resolution in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, and Sofascore as fallback sources. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Implies resolution based on the game occurring after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is provided. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result of the Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026 between SC Recife and AA Ponte Preta.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Sport Recife vs Ponte Preta professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Sport Recife win, Ponte Preta win, or a tie. A market resolves to Yes if its specified condition is met—Sport Recife or Ponte Preta winning in regulation, or the game ending in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow users to directly bet against each other. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as market participants are incentivized to find and act on information. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public perception and betting biases, which may not be fully reflected in prediction markets. This market provides an alternative view on the likely outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might see more activity from fans of SC Recife, while Kalshi could have a stronger contingent of AA Ponte Preta supporters, leading to differing price pressures. This market reflects the combined insights of both platforms, despite these potential discrepancies.