TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Preußen Münster vs. Hertha BSC
Volume:
$284,135
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between SC Preußen Münster and Hertha BSC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Hertha win, Münster win, draw) and Kalshi (one ternary outcome covering all three results). Resolution is based on the official 90-minute match result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically malformed with all three outcomes resolving to Yes and no explicit No condition. Polymarket offers three clear binary markets. The platforms cannot be reconciled without clarification of Kalshi's intended resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket markets as the reliable prediction instruments. Avoid trading Kalshi until the market operator clarifies whether the ternary outcome (all three results = Yes) is intentional or a documentation error. If intentional, Kalshi's market is not a true prediction market and should be treated as a binary hedge (match occurs = Yes, match canceled = No).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit resolution logic: Hertha win resolves Yes if Hertha wins, No otherwise; Münster win resolves Yes if Münster wins, No otherwise; Draw resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise. Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no makeup resolves win markets to No and draw market to Yes. Primary source: official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Single market with three listed outcomes, all resolving to Yes: Hertha win = Yes, Tie = Yes, Munster win = Yes. No explicit No condition provided. No cancellation or postponement clause documented. Market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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