Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share identical resolution logic: they resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga/DFB); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if SC Preußen Münster wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise.
Market resolves YES if DSC Arminia Bielefeld wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise.
Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets will resolve YES.
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
Match Cancellation with No Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES and both team-win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Delay: If official governing body statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or upon consensus reporting if official sources are delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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