TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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SC Maria da Fonte vs. União Nogueirense FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SC Maria da Fonte vs. União Nogueirense FC?

Volume:
$5,629

Reg Time: Maria da Fonte

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 2:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Maria da Fonte

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,813
N/A
N/A
$2,813
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SC Maria da Fonte

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Uniao Nogueirense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,777
N/A
N/A
$1,777
Settled
No
polymarket

União Nogueirense FC

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$917
N/A
N/A
$917
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Maria da Fonte vs. União Nogueirense FC)

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the SC Maria da Fonte vs. União Nogueirense FC soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether SC Maria da Fonte wins, whether the match ends in a draw, and whether União Nogueirense FC wins, all based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence in market structure and resolution logicHero tip: Avoid cross-platform arbitrage strategies as Kalshi's single market structure creates asymmetric risk compared to Polymarket's three separate binary markets. Focus trading on the platform whose market structure aligns with your risk preferences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will SC Maria da Fonte win? Will the match end in a draw? Will União Nogueirense FC win? Each market resolves independently based on the specific outcome.
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if ANY of the following occur: Maria da Fonte wins, União Nogueirense wins, or the match ends in a draw. Effectively a market on "Will the match have a definitive result after regular time?"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Taca de Portugal game, scheduled for Sunday, August 30, 2026 between SC Maria da Fonte and União Nogueirense FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Maria da Fonte vs Uniao Nogueirense professional Taca de Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There are three possible outcomes: Maria da Fonte win, Uniao Nogueirense win, or a tie—all determined exclusively within regulation time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, weather conditions, or strategic changes may shift trader sentiment and move this market. Key updates such as player availability announcements, tactical announcements, or even broader league performance trends can cause rapid adjustments. As the match nears, any last-minute news will likely produce noticeable swings in probability and volume on both platforms.