TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between SC Internacional and EC Bahia scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess whether Internacional wins, Bahia wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves win markets to No and draw markets to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor official CBF (Confederacao Brasileira de Futebol) announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If canceled with no rescheduling, expect Polymarket win markets to resolve No and draw market to resolve Yes. Clarify Kalshi's cancellation protocol with support before the event date to avoid settlement disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Internacional win (Yes/No), Bahia win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No). Explicitly states: win markets resolve No if game is canceled; draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Resolution window: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets, each resolving to Yes if its outcome occurs (Internacional wins, Bahia wins, or Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. All three markets reference the same 90-minute plus stoppage time window.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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