TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Cruzeiro EC will win against SC Internacional in a Brazilian Série A match. The aggregated consensus probability for Cruzeiro EC winning is 100.0%, while SC Internacional has a 0.1% chance, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by official CBF statistics. Watch for the match result on July 22, 2026, as it will directly influence the market outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between SC Internacional and Cruzeiro EC.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Internacional vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Internacional win, Cruzeiro win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a built-in margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader consensus and real-money stakes, often producing sharper, less-biased estimates of true probability. This market's odds reflect what thousands of traders collectively believe will happen, unfiltered by a bookmaker's profit motive. Many traders use prediction market prices as a benchmark against traditional sportsbook lines to identify value and arbitrage opportunities.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter perceived match strength. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader conviction as the fixture approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in either squad's season trajectory may also trigger repricing. As match day nears, late-breaking tactical information or betting syndicate activity can cause sharp moves, so monitoring this market in the final hours often reveals where informed traders are positioning themselves.