TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Volume:
$386,407
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between SC Internacional and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively resolve YES for every possible match outcome (Chapecoense win, Internacional win, or tie), creating a logical contradiction where the market group cannot fail to resolve YES. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured, with exactly one resolving YES based on the actual match result. This fundamental structural flaw in Kalshi makes it unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's markets in this group — they are logically broken and will always resolve YES regardless of the match outcome. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three markets (Chapecoense win, Internacional win, draw) are properly exclusive and one will resolve YES based on the actual result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for any match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Chapecoense wins, Market 2 resolves YES if Internacional wins, and Market 3 resolves YES if a tie occurs. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must happen, all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES, making the group logically incoherent. Key quote: 'If Chapecoense wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Internacional wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Three mutually exclusive markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome. Market 1 (Chapecoense win) resolves YES only if Chapecoense wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Internacional win) resolves YES only if Internacional wins, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Associação Chapecoense de Futebol wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure repeats for all three outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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