TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the SC Internacional RS vs Cruzeiro EC MG Brasileiro Serie A soccer match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves to Yes for the specific correct score outcome selected. Resolution is based on the final score of the SC Internacional RS vs Cruzeiro EC MG professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible score combination from 0-0 draws to 5-2 victories for either team represents a distinct outcome, and the market resolves affirmatively only if the actual match result matches the selected score exactly.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own risk models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets like this one reflect the collective belief of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market aggregates thousands of individual forecasts into a single probability for each correct score, often revealing consensus that differs from sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can highlight where professional traders and casual bettors diverge on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that specific scoreline will occur, ranging from near-zero for unlikely results to higher values for more probable ones. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market constantly incorporates fresh signals about match expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders reassess probabilities based on team form, lineup announcements, and any other developments that might influence the scoreline. Resolution is automatic once the event result is official, settling all positions based on which correct score outcome actually occurred.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before Jul 23, 2026. Injury announcements or roster changes for either team will reshape expectations around offensive and defensive capability. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical adjustments disclosed by coaches can trigger repricing across all scoreline outcomes. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and late-breaking team news often spark trading surges. Additionally, as the match approaches, traders may adjust positions based on betting patterns and consensus shifts, causing probabilities for favored scorelines to tighten while longer-shot results widen.