TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a variety of markets related to the SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga match on September 12th. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, covering both the full match and the first half. All markets rely on official Bundesliga data for resolution.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 9:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 9:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This market’s probabilities can provide a unique perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and sportsbook assessments. The volume of $226,054 suggests active trading and a degree of confidence in the current pricing. It’s important to compare both sources when making informed decisions.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform can influence pricing. For example, Polymarket currently favors SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 at 98 percent, while Predict leans toward Both Teams to Score. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each platform’s trading activity.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Freiburg or Mönchengladbach could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also be a factor. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Predict could drive price movements, especially if large volumes are traded. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.