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SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Halftime Result
polymarket
kalshi

SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Halftime Result

Volume:
$840

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Freiburg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Freiburg

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga match scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets assess whether Freiburg leads, Leverkusen leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure divergence: Polymarket uses three mutually exclusive binary markets with explicit Yes/No outcomes, while Kalshi uses three outcome-specific Yes-only markets. The underlying halftime result logic is identical, but the resolution presentation differs.Hero tip: Both platforms will resolve to the same ground truth (one outcome wins), but traders must account for different payout mechanics. Polymarket traders receive explicit No resolutions on two markets; Kalshi traders receive implicit No (no payout) on two markets. Ensure position sizing accounts for this structural difference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary markets: Freiburg leading (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Leverkusen leading (Yes/No). Each resolves independently. Exactly one Yes and two Nos expected. Quote: 'If SC Freiburg wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets, each resolving Yes if its condition is met (Freiburg win, Tie, Leverkusen win). No explicit No resolutions stated. Quote: 'If Freiburg is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.